Monday 3 August 2015

Old Analysis (2/2/2015) - USO - United States Oil Fund

The ETF United States Oil Fund tracks the WTI crude futures index. I have been following the chart of USO since December of last year. Chart 1 below is the weekly chart analyzed on 15th Dec 2014. I have not updated the chart as there is no material change on weekly time frame at this stage.

chart 1


The daily chart (chart 2 below), shows the progress of wave C down in more detail.

chart 2

Conclusion

If the above analysis works out as above, then it implies that we are very close to a bottom in USO. If we are indeed in wave 4 then the prices are likely to consolidate between 16.3 to around 20-21 (23.6% retracement of wave 3 comes at 20.8)  before the next downward leg towards 14-16 (161.8% of wave B comes to around 14.2).

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